Pakistan, home to more than 245 million people, is predicted to experience population increase through 2054, with a possible peak in the second half of the century, according to a significant UN research.
The World Population Prospects 2024 study from the UN projects that Pakistan’s population will reach a peak of 404.68 million in 2092. According to the analysis, Pakistan’s population is expected to surpass that of Indonesia in 2048, with a projected total of 331.29 million.
Pakistan’s population increased at an average yearly rate of 2.40 percent between 1998 and 2017, surpassing 220 million people. This was due to an average annual population growth rate of 2.40%.
The study draws attention to Pakistan’s high birth rate of 22 births per 1,000 people and observes that a low percentage of Pakistani women utilise birth control, which contributes to the country’s rapid population expansion.
It is anticipated that this population boom will put a pressure on the water and sanitation systems, result in millions of jobless people, and overload the health and educational institutions.
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Pakistan’s population has increased dramatically since the country gained its independence in 1947, in part due to an increase in people relocating their families and businesses to the region. According to the survey, Pakistan’s growth rate surpasses that of other countries in the region by around 2.1 percent.
According to the estimate, Pakistan’s population will double from its 2001 level in around 35 years if this development continues. Pakistan’s population is estimated to reach over 300 million people by 2050, when the country’s growth rate, which is currently close to 2%, is predicted to cut in half to less than 1%.
The population of the world is predicted to increase by an additional two billion people during the next 60 years, reaching a peak of roughly 10.3 billion in the mid-2080s before falling to roughly 10.2 billion. As of mid-2024, the population was close to 8.2 billion.
Reliable demographic statistics is essential since worldwide population changes are uneven, with some regions seeing rapid growth while others are experiencing rapid ageing. The UNFPA, the UN Sexual and Reproductive Health Agency, stressed the significance of these findings and the necessity of attending to the needs of underrepresented groups.
A fifth of all countries, including China, Italy, South Korea, and Spain, currently have “ultra-low fertility” rates of fewer than 1.4 live births per woman, despite the fact that worldwide fertility rates are declining and women are having one fewer kid on average than they did in 1990.
The population of 63 countries, including China, Germany, Japan, and Russia, peaked in 2024, and during the next thirty years, it is expected to fall by 14%.
Global population average is rising, and by the late 2070s, the proportion of adults 65 and older is predicted to overtake that of those under 18. Over half of all deaths worldwide will happen at age 80 or older by the late 2050s, a sharp rise from 17% in 1995.
Rapid population growth is predicted in low-income and lower-middle-income countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, whereas high-income countries see modest growth or population reduction. Particularly in areas where climate change is already having a significant influence, this expansion will worsen environmental effects and raise the demand for resources.
Population growth is also predicted through 2054 in nations including the US, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan, India, and possibly reaching a peak in the second part of the century.
Sustainable development depends on women’s sexual and reproductive health and rights. In low-income nations, early pregnancies continue to be a problem; in 2024, 4.7 million newborns, including 340,000 under the age of 15, would be born to mothers under the age of 18. Delaying marriage and having children as well as investing in education can both lower the costs associated with sustainable development and enhance health outcomes.